Contents
Chapter 1. Introduction
1.1. Foreign Exchange as a Financial Market
1.2. Foreign Exchange in a Historical Perspective
1.3. Main Stages of Recent Foreign Exchange Development
The Bretton Woods Accord
The International Monetary Fund
Free-Floating of Currencies
The European Monetary Union
The European Monetary Cooperation Fund
The Euro
1.4. Factors Caused Foreign Exchange Volume Growth
Interest Rate Volatility
Business Internationalization
Increasing of Corporate Interest
Increasing of Traders Sophistication
Developments in Telecommunications
Computer and Programming Development
Chapter 2. Kinds Of Major Currencies
and Exchange Systems
2.1. Major Currencies
The U.S. Dollar
The Euro
The Japanese Yen
The British Pound
The Swiss Franc
2.2. Kinds of Exchange Systems
Trading with Brokers
Direct Dealing
Dealing Systems
Matching Systems
2.3. The Federal Reserve System of the USA and Central Banks of the Other G-7 Countries
The Federal Reserve System of the USA
The Central Banks of the Other G-7 Countries 21
Chapter 3. Kinds of Foreign Exchange Market
3.1. Spot Market
3.2. Forward Market
3.3. Futures Market
3.4. Currency Options
Delta
Gamma
Vega
Theta
Chapter 4. Fundamental Analysis
4.1. Economic Fundamentals
Theories of Exchange Rate Determination
Purchasing Power Parity
The PPP Relative Version
Theory of Elasticities
Modern Monetary Theories on Short-term Exchange Rate Volatility
The Portfolio-Balance Approach
Synthesis of Traditional and Modern Monetary Views
4.2. Economic Indicators
The Gross National Product (GNP)
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Consumption Spending
Investment Spending
Government Spending
Net Trade
Industrial Production
Capacity Utilization
Factory Orders
Durable Goods Orders
Business Inventories
Construction Indicators
Inflation Indicators
Producer Price Index (PPI)
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Gross National Product Implicit Deflator
Gross Domestic Product Implicit Deflator
Commodity Research Bureau's Futures Index (CRB Index)
The “Journal of Commerce” Industrial Price Index (Joc)
Merchandise Trade Balance
Employment Indicators
Employment Cost Index (ECI)
Consumer Spending Indicators
Auto Sales
Leading Indicators
Personal Income
4.3. Financial and Sociopolitical Factors
The Role of Financial Factors
Political Events and Crises
Chapter 5. Technical Analysis
5.1. The Evolution and Fundamentals of Technical Analysis Theory of Dow
Price
Volume and Open Interest
5.2. Types of Charts
Line Chart
Bar Chart
Candlestick Chart
5.3. Trends, Support and Resistance
Kinds of Trends
Percentage Retracement
The Trendline
Lines of Support and Resistance
5.4. Trend Reversal Patterns
Head-and-Shoulders
Signal Generated by the Head-and-shoulders Pattern
Inverse Head-and-Shoulders
Double Top
Signals Provided by the Double Top Formation
Double Bottom
Triple Top and Triple Bottom
The opposite is true for the triple bottom
Rounded Top and Bottom Formations
Diamond Formation
5.5. Trend Continuation Patterns
Flag Formation
Pennant Formation
Triangle Formation
Wedge Formation
Rectangle Formation
5.6. Gaps
Common Gaps
Breakaway Gaps
Runaway Gaps
Trading Signals for Runaway Gaps
Exhaustion Gaps
5.7. Mathematical Trading Methods (Indicators)
Moving Averages
Trading Signals of Moving Averages
Oscillators
Stochastics
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD)
Momentum
The Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Rate of Change (ROC)
Larry Williams %R
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
Bollinger Bands
The Parabolic System (SAR)
The directional movement index (DMI)
Chapter 6. The Fibonacci Analysis and Elliott Wave Theory
6.1. The Fibonacci Analysis
6.2. The Elliott Wave
Basics of Wave Analysis
Impulse Waves—Variations
The Diagonal Triangles
Failures (Truncated Fifths)
Chapter 7. Foreign Exchange Risks
7.1. Exchange Rate Risk
7.2. Interest Rate Risk
7.3. Credit Risk
7.4. Country Risk
Glossary And Foreign Exchange Terms
Bibliography
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